September 2, 2025

Phoenix Population Growth Continues Amid Housing Challenges

News Summary

Phoenix, Arizona, is witnessing notable population growth, now totaling over 1.6 million residents. This trend is attributed to various factors including migration, with an influx of nearly 1 million immigrants. As natural growth declines due to lower birth rates and an aging population, migration becomes increasingly vital for sustaining the city’s development. The Census Bureau’s new immigrant counting methods further impact demographic statistics, highlighting essential shifts in regional growth trends.

Phoenix, Arizona

Arizona’s population is experiencing significant growth, increasing from approximately 6.4 million residents in 2010 to around 7.6 million in 2024. The latest data from the Census Bureau confirms that Phoenix remains the nation’s fifth-largest city, showcasing a steady increase in residents.

Between July 1, 2023, and July 1, 2024, the population in Phoenix grew by 16,933 residents, bringing the total population to 1,673,164. This growth rate of 1% places Phoenix at No. 729 among U.S. cities of over 20,000 people in terms of percentage growth during that one-year period.

Regional Growth Trends

While Phoenix remains a standout in population growth, the city of Queen Creek has recorded the highest year-over-year growth percentage in Arizona. Other cities making significant strides include Surprise and Tolleson, which also experienced notable increases.

Analysis indicates that Pinal County is seeing an influx of residents migrating from Maricopa County, largely attributed to lower housing prices. This trend is indicative of the broader movement across the state, as many individuals and families search for affordable living options amidst rising costs.

Immigration’s Role in Population Increase

Arizona is currently home to nearly 1 million immigrants, a demographic that has become essential for sustaining population growth. Without the influx of immigrants, Maricopa County would not have seen any population growth last year. This highlights the crucial role that migration plays in the region’s demographic landscape.

The Phoenix metropolitan area alone expanded by 85,000 people from 2023 to 2024, further underlining the reliance on migration for population increases. A substantial number of immigrants are choosing to settle in the core areas of Phoenix, where job opportunities are abundant.

Declining Natural Growth

As natural population growth—defined as the difference between births and deaths—continues to decline, migration is increasingly essential for maintaining growth in Arizona. Socio-economic experts emphasize this trend, noting that fluctuations in birth rates and an aging population are contributing factors to the reduced natural growth.

In addition, rising mortgage rates and escalating housing costs are leading many current residents to stay in their homes rather than move, which may be contributing to a general slowdown in overall growth within the state.

Changes in Immigration Counting Methods

The Census Bureau’s updated methodology for counting immigrants has included those admitted for humanitarian reasons, which is likely to have a direct impact on the recorded growth statistics. These changes are changing how communities assess their demographic trends and needs.

Rapid Growth in Smaller Communities

Smaller communities such as Tolleson have also reported rapid percentage increases in population, with Tolleson witnessing a remarkable 30% growth, equating to an increase of 2,149 residents. Other communities experiencing significant growth alongside Phoenix include Goodyear, Maricopa, and Buckeye, indicating that the vibrancy of the region’s job market and quality of life is attracting more residents.

The ongoing population surge in Arizona is reshaping the state’s landscape, economy, and communities. As the importance of migration for population growth continues to rise, understanding these trends will be crucial for addressing future needs and challenges.

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Additional Resources

Author: STAFF HERE PHOENIX WRITER

PHOENIX STAFF WRITER The PHOENIX STAFF WRITER represents the experienced team at HEREPhoenix.com, your go-to source for actionable local news and information in Phoenix, Maricopa County, and beyond. Specializing in "news you can use," we cover essential topics like product reviews for personal and business needs, local business directories, politics, real estate trends, neighborhood insights, and state news affecting the area—with deep expertise drawn from years of dedicated reporting and strong community input, including local press releases and business updates. We deliver top reporting on high-value events such as the Waste Management Phoenix Open, Cactus League Spring Training, and Arizona State Fair. Our coverage extends to key organizations like the Greater Phoenix Chamber of Commerce and Visit Phoenix, plus leading businesses in technology and healthcare that power the local economy such as Intel and Banner Health. As part of the broader HERE network, including HERETucson.com, we provide comprehensive, credible insights into Arizona's dynamic landscape.

STAFF HERE PHOENIX WRITER

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