July 3, 2025

Phoenix Housing Market Faces Shifting Conditions

News Summary

The Phoenix housing market is seeing a notable transition as buyers gain leverage amid declining home values and increasing inventory. While international interest rises, local conditions show a 2.8% drop in home prices over the past year and a 38% increase in inventory. This environment creates more options for buyers, yet pending sales have declined by 5% year-over-year, reflecting market hesitance. As the luxury segment stagnates, potential buyers are encouraged to explore the abundant listings available, despite economic uncertainties.

Phoenix is witnessing a significant shift in its housing market as buyers gain more leverage amidst softening local conditions, characterized by decreasing home values and rising inventory. Increased interest from international buyers has been noted, particularly in the areas of Phoenix, Mesa, and Chandler, according to a recent analysis.

A report from Realtor.com analyzed the international views of for-sale listings within the U.S. marketplace from January to March 2025, revealing that Arizona ranked No. 8 for international homebuyer interest. The metro areas of Phoenix, Mesa, and Chandler represent a combined 2.27% share of international homebuyers for the first quarter of 2025. Such interest has generated a net influx of 45,693 international residents in Maricopa County, as reported by U.S. Census Bureau data.

Despite the rising interest from international buyers, local market conditions reveal a different picture. Home values in metro Phoenix have decreased by 2.8% over the past year. This is one of the most significant declines in home values nationwide. Additionally, home inventory in the Phoenix area surged by nearly 38% compared to the previous year, indicating a notable increase in housing options for local buyers.

Current statistics show that Phoenix buyers now have the most options available to them since 2019; however, pending sales have declined by almost 5% year-over-year. Potential buyers appear hesitant to enter the market despite lower home values and mortgage rates, largely due to economic uncertainty and concerns about the broader market dynamics.

Particularly within the luxury housing segment, a temporary stagnation has contributed to the overall reduction in home prices. Some analysts suggest that the decrease in home values reflects a shift in market share rather than an outright collapse in home prices. Presently, the Phoenix housing market is classified as balanced, not strictly favoring buyers.

In comparison to other major U.S. cities, only four—Austin, Tampa, San Antonio, and Dallas—have experienced a larger decline in home values over the past year than Phoenix. In April, Phoenix saw a slight increase in home values of 0.3%, ranking fifth-lowest in the nation for this metric, leading to concerns about the sustainability of this trend.

Real estate analysts have noted that home sales in March 2025 totaled 6,400 units, marking a 20% drop from the long-term average and a staggering 35% decline from the peak during the pandemic. This downturn contrasts sharply with the rise in new listings, which increased by 20% year-over-year, creating a mismatch between supply and demand in the housing market.

In terms of inventory, the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler metro area has reached its highest level of homes for sale since 2017, with a total of 18,701 properties listed. This increase can lead to favorable conditions for buyers, who may benefit from potential price corrections resulting from increased supply.

As the market continues to fluctuate, prospective buyers are encouraged to explore the available inventory now rather than waiting for prices to decrease further. With the current abundance of homes for sale and favorable conditions for buyers, those looking to invest in the Phoenix housing market may be presented with new opportunities amidst the ongoing shifts affecting local housing dynamics.

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Additional Resources

Author: STAFF HERE PHOENIX WRITER

PHOENIX STAFF WRITER The PHOENIX STAFF WRITER represents the experienced team at HEREPhoenix.com, your go-to source for actionable local news and information in Phoenix, Maricopa County, and beyond. Specializing in "news you can use," we cover essential topics like product reviews for personal and business needs, local business directories, politics, real estate trends, neighborhood insights, and state news affecting the area—with deep expertise drawn from years of dedicated reporting and strong community input, including local press releases and business updates. We deliver top reporting on high-value events such as the Waste Management Phoenix Open, Cactus League Spring Training, and Arizona State Fair. Our coverage extends to key organizations like the Greater Phoenix Chamber of Commerce and Visit Phoenix, plus leading businesses in technology and healthcare that power the local economy such as Intel and Banner Health. As part of the broader HERE network, including HERETucson.com, we provide comprehensive, credible insights into Arizona's dynamic landscape.

STAFF HERE PHOENIX WRITER

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